I know there are only 2 of here (Hi Nicky), but maybe some others will see this and hopefully put my mind at rest. (I also posted in the Marketing forum.)
I'm really wondering where the alpaca industry is heading. I know the current marketing and sales problems are in large part due to the economy. But but but ... within 40 miles of my home there are 50 farms with nearly 2000 animals. Some of the farms are very big (250-300 alpacas). There are 600 huacayas in PA alone within 25 miles of my house. How does someone starting out compete with that? I know alpacas have only 1 cria per year, and I know there are fewer than 10,000 animals in the US. But it looks like 20% of them are in my backyard, and I am very worried about oversaturation.
We are starting very small and intend to stay that way -- just a few alpacas, agisting. And I want to do this so very badly. But I see prices come down and down, and just can't let myself pull the trigger to the tune of $20K.
Help?
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